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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RandomfoolRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)98% (128–3, n=131)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$60K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #6PM monthly #936PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (37 of 55 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (32 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Tennis −1 pts, n=24—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 128 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)100% (won 98% of 128)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RandomfoolRN1
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $68K——Chargers $3.6K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32K——Lakers $142
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Celtics $28K——Bucks $116
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11K——Jazz $116
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2——Texans $7.1K
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Shunsuke Mitsui $3.3K——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $320
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Under $116
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $239
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $10——Chargers $55
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $83K——Coco Gauff $56K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $89K——Packers $4.6K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $18K——Heat $138
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $2.2K——Seahawks $4.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $943——Nets $144