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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026hgawxndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)43% (57–77, n=134)63% (1095–631, n=1726)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$18K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #997PM monthly #118PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus63% (42 of 67 open)0% (0 of 1 open)72% (70 of 97 open)75% (15 of 20 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—79% of 68 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 79% of 38)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 79% of 29)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026hgawxndb1primm
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $29K——Commanders $247
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $14K——Colts $5.1K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13K——Under $1.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.6K——Under $3.2K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $31——Over $4.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $927Mavericks $3.0K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $88——Eagles $143
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $77——Commanders $13
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $33K——Chiefs $49K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $32K——Lions $47K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $56K——Over $20K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $1.9K——Lions $11K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $58——Under $3.3K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $46——Eagles $95