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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026JamesAltucherprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)69% (99–45, n=144)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M-$274$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #531PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)100% (5 of 5 open)92% (11 of 12 open)61% (30 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)56% (won 3% of 128)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 43% of 14)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)8% (won 78% of 18)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)30% (won 91% of 68)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026JamesAltucherprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.3K—Bears $9.7KBuccaneers $4.8K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295—Buccaneers $91Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $26K—Buccaneers $8.1KBuccaneers $15K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.7K—Over $16K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.6K——Over $3.4K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8.4KUnder $2.6K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $6.1K—Buccaneers $278—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91K——Coco Gauff $58K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
Ducks $34K——Ducks $3.5K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $19K——Heat $1.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.8K—Over $13K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.0K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $748
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360