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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)57% (150–111, n=261)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M$33K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #114PM monthly #872
Sides with the consensus59% (46 of 78 open)71% (115 of 161 open)72% (73 of 101 open)50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1SilentShark
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $863——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $764——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.0KUnder $376——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $91
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $75
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $18
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $60KBroncos $1.4K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $48KLinda Noskova $2.7K——
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $17KStefan Kozlov $6.5K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $316
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——