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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)57% (10818–8158, n=18976)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.9M$19K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #979PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)73% (88 of 121 open)71% (41 of 58 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7KNo $243—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13KUnder $55—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $69—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $81—
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.8KHornets $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $300—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $41—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $956Under $49—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $412Over $152—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $63—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $199Over $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95Over $39—
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $76Vikings $16—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22—No $20—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $39KJanice Tjen $8.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $46—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
Liam Broady $2.2KLiam Broady $791——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $106—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $52—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.1KRockets $121—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837No $59—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596No $9—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $162Hornets $12—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Holger Rune
—Holger Rune $62Holger Rune $8—