Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpKnightDasCapitalprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)53% (12536–11056, n=23592)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$107K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus55% (17 of 31 open)74% (82 of 111 open)25% (1 of 4 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −1 pts, n=5995—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%51% of 7218 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)17% (won 18% of 1234)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)29% (won 41% of 2116)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)30% (won 58% of 2151)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)24% (won 80% of 1717)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpKnightDasCapitalprimm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8K——Over $19K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $746——Bears $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $260—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $8.4K——Buccaneers $198
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $469——Bears $3.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $4—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $28K——Buccaneers $6.3K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K——Over $14K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9KOver $2.6K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $4.9KKeisuke Saitoh $381——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $395—