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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucherprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)69% (99–45, n=144)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M-$274$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16was PM monthly #531PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)73% (83 of 113 open)100% (5 of 5 open)85% (11 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −1 pts, n=101—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)56% (won 3% of 128)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 43% of 14)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)8% (won 78% of 18)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)30% (won 91% of 68)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucherprimm
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $23KClippers $794——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.0K——Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.2K——Bears $10K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $4.5KHeat $2.5K——
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $6.4K——Buccaneers $407
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295——Buccaneers $92
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $28K——Buccaneers $8.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.8K——Over $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9KOver $2.5K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $7.2KKeisuke Saitoh $560——