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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpaintscrel
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)0% (0–3, n=3)
Consensus PnL$795K$501K$515K-$4.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #13PM monthly #18was PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)49% (84 of 173 open)60% (81 of 135 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpaintscrel
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $8.7K—Bilibili Gaming $174Gen.G $3.9K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309Indiana $22K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $155Nets $11K—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $3.0K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167Over $259—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $132Colorado Buffaloes $3—
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
—Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K—
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $83—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $1.1KGen.G $3
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $845—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $358Over $121—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $32No $60—