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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)
Consensus PnL$590K$395K$0$358K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)59% (105 of 177 open)no open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)—32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)—59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)—8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazard
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.8K—Thunder $2.0K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $7—Trail Blazers $2.6K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Over $99
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Under $2
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $1.1K—Kings $61
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $891—Over $7
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $967—Under $11K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $1.2K—Thunder $8.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Over $3.9K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $2.1K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $14—Colorado $74