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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dwarfwow | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 65% (109 of 167 open) | 50% (21 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dwarfwow | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | Over $1.8K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | Cavaliers $708 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi | — | — | Alexander Ritschard $285 | Luca Nardi $611 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $183 | Lakers $210 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain | — | — | Lucas Poullain $220 | Calvin Hemery $35 |
| Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente | — | — | Carlos Sanchez Jover $127 | Santiago De la Fuente $35 |
| Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut | — | — | Luka Mikrut $102 | Sandro Kopp $6 |
| Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | — | Franco Roncadelli $84 | Juan Sebastian Gomez $14 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.4K |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted same side · consensus Lui Maxted | — | — | Lui Maxted $1.4K | Lui Maxted $3.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $166 | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | — | Lakers $187 | Lakers $248 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Cavaliers $170 | Cavaliers $111 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |