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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (428–388, n=816) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) |
| Consensus PnL | $411K | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #709 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #16 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 73% (82 of 112 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $23K | Clippers $753 |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Kings $4.5K | Heat $2.4K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | T1 $1 | — | Bilibili Gaming $2.2K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | — | Coco Gauff $91K | Coco Gauff $17K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $65K | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $25K | — | Bilibili Gaming $13K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $20K | Bilibili Gaming $273 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9.9K | Over $2.7K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $96 | Bears $8.1K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $6.6K | Keisuke Saitoh $508 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $4.0K | — | Bilibili Gaming $5 | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | Under $1.8K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $40 | — | T1 $1.6K | — |