Consensus PnL $490K · win rate 58% (373–274, n=647) · was PM monthly #926 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$489.7K
Record
373W / 274L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 647 settled
Batting Avg
59.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#835
Source
PM monthly #926
Record (90 d)
144/202 · 71%
Trades
4,088
Markets
3,971
Volume
$19.9M
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Specialties
632 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 50¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 57% of 632 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 28%(won 5% of 177)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 23% of 104)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 86% of 151)
- 70¢ and up: 32%(won 99% of 200)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.