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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimeRN1sainttroplayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (789–775, n=1564)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)no settled market50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL-$4.5K$14.8M—$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #789PM monthly #23 + pinned—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus62% (42 of 68 open)58% (21 of 36 open)no open consensus position64% (32 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2538)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5565)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9017)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 201)33% (won 100% of 8250)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimeRN1sainttroplayUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $943—Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382—Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1K—No $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $36
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $9Deborah Chiesa $1.2K——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $162—No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90—No $139
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7——Yes $175
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20—Over $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $7.8KQuentin Halys $40K——
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
Jeline Vandromme $982Jeline Vandromme $12K——
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $3.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $931
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $44—Boluspor $1.5K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $56—Under $44
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
Lukas Pokorny $5——Lukas Pokorny $4