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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 67% (6–3, n=9) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | $400K | $526 | $636K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (48 of 74 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 50% (20 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | — | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | — | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | — | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $7.5K | — | Pepperdine Waves $150K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Saints $20K | — | Panthers $238 |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $3.2K | — | Texans $8.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $7.9K | — | Packers $2.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $5.8K | — | Packers $6 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $5.4K | — | Cardinals $199 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Lions $32 | — | Patriots $172 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $2.6K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $6.0K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $2.0K | — | Colts $3 |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | Under $489 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $324 | — | Rockets $73 |