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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)49% (6369–6581, n=12950)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #47PM monthly #760
Sides with the consensus68% (171 of 252 open)72% (63 of 87 open)78% (7 of 9 open)63% (15 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmyoucanbuythisbot
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $34K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $2
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K——Yes $38
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $799
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578Under $6.4K——
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K——No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $48
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489——No $368
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613——Under $38
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $596——No $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $471——Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $475——Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319——Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $291——Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $10
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112——Yes $15
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $5