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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | machbut | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 61% (23–15, n=38) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $37K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #822 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (208 of 274 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 54% (49 of 90 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 74% of 34 at avg 72¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 9% (won 0% of 3) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 18% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 59% (won 95% of 20) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | machbut | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $42 | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.0K | — | Yes $463 | — |
| HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | — | Over $777 | — |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K | — | Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K | — |
| Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | Yes $108 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | Leyre Romero Gormaz $597 | — | Julia Riera $1.1K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.4K | — | Juan Carlos Prado $268 | — |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $110 | — | Over $1.2K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $960 | — | Under $111 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $529 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $626 | — | Over $42 | — |
| FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $140 | — | Under $473 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $152 | — | No $458 | — |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $510 | — | Under $86 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov $52 | — | Kimmer Coppejans $419 | — |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $414 | — | No $5 | — |
| Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Braunschweig $329 | — | FC Energie Cottbus $21 | — |
| Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $315 | — | Yes $19 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | 76ers $188 | — | Cavaliers $108 | — |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $161 | — | No $74 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $174 |
| Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $165 | — | Yes $31 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $133 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | No $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $13K | — | No $13K | — |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | Yes $10K | — | Yes $8.6K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $494 | — | — | No $15K |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Everton FC | Everton FC $7.2K | — | Everton FC $2.2K | — |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $6.5K | — |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | No $4.2K | — |
| Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | No $2.1K | — |