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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshineforeverr
Record (consensus markets)71% (2090–853, n=2943)48% (501–539, n=1040)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$388K$462K$318
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #21PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensus53% (124 of 233 open)55% (12 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)25% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)50% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)0%
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshineforeverr
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $2.1KNorway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $14K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5KDenmark $4.0K—
Will Japan vs. Brazil end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KNo $59—
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $76BakS eSports $20—
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
opposite sides · consensus Rwanda Women
Rwanda Women $12Uganda Women $37—
Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $33KNo $967—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks
same side · consensus Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats $1.9KPerth Wildcats $4.0K—
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9KUnder $2.9K—
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.4KUnder $3—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $12Royal Desert Champions $8—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Biratnagar Kings $7Biratnagar Kings $9—