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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1wpj
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)39% (12–19, n=31)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus68% (130 of 192 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%37% of 27 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)37% (won 0% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)22% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)19% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)22% (won 83% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1wpj
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $941—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $4.5K—Talia Gibson $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $927—Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
Aoi Ito $92—Katie Swan $281—
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
Naho Sato $26—Jia-Jing Lu $60—
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Stoyanov
Alisa Oktiabreva $54—Antonia Stoyanov $19—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $6.9K—Jan Kumstat $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.9K—No $1.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3K—
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
Yujia Huang $85—Yujia Huang $2.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44—No $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102—Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379—No $662—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $169—Yuzuha Negishi $105—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
Sara Saito $2—Sara Saito $228—
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
Benjamin Pietri $13—Benjamin Pietri $76—