Consensus PnL $29K · win rate 41% (13–19, n=32) · was PM monthly #866 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$28.6K
Record
13W / 19L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 32 settled
Batting Avg
37.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2443
Source
PM monthly #866
Record (90 d)
10/30 · 33%
Trades
441
Markets
37
Volume
$140.5K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
27 settled consensus markets · held side won 37% at an average entry of 41¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where wpj's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 37%(won 0% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 33% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 60% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 83% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.