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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5919–5290, n=11209) | no settled market | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | — | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #602 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (169 of 235 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 55% (21 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $24K | — | — | Talia Gibson $26K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $943 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.0K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa | Sarah Van Emst $210 | — | — | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Buriram United leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $467 | — | — | Yes $52 |
| M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski | Marcel Zielinski $136 | — | — | Carles Hernandez $26 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $39K | — | — | Under $45 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme | Jeline Vandromme $3.9K | — | — | Jeline Vandromme $12K |
| Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | Otto Virtanen $1.6K | — | — | Otto Virtanen $10K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6.3K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez same side · consensus Samuele Pieri | Samuele Pieri $2.1K | — | — | Samuele Pieri $1.6K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $115 | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $100 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $380 | — | — | No $663 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $747 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas | Pavlos Tsitsipas $456 | — | — | Pavlos Tsitsipas $10 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $239 | — | — | Under $46 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $117 | — | — | Yes $162 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner | Jeremy Gschwendtner $114 | — | — | Jeremy Gschwendtner $150 |