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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRhabarberbarbarbarRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)59% (266–185, n=451)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$74K$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #982PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus65% (108 of 166 open)0% (0 of 5 open)50% (21 of 42 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%60% of 437 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)17% (won 7% of 76)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)35% (won 46% of 155)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)8% (won 62% of 37)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)39% (won 96% of 169)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRhabarberbarbarbarRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
Alexander Ritschard $267—Luca Nardi $832—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
Lucas Poullain $281—Calvin Hemery $35—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover
Carlos Sanchez Jover $122—Santiago De la Fuente $35—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $102—Sandro Kopp $6—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Franco Roncadelli $21—Juan Sebastian Gomez $25—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
same side · consensus Lui Maxted
Lui Maxted $206—Lui Maxted $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Lakers $187—Lakers $248—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—