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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpPerpsKingRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)100% (3–0, n=3)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$240K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #661PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (175 of 254 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (24 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 2 at avg 64¢, ROI +36%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)100% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpPerpsKingRN1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Natus Vincere $46TheMongolz $20K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $27K—Claire Liu $18K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $19K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $4.9K—Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K—No $1.2K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.7K—Under $43
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $934—No $1.4K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Nanjing City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $376
Will Wuxi Wugou vs. Changchun Yatai end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $551—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $505—Under $418
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $278—No $495
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $187—Under $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $40