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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)no settled market50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)
Consensus PnL$3.7M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #999PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (253 of 364 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Mika Brunold $51——Borna Gojo $4.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $899——No $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57——Over $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $21K——No $11K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili $11K——Nikoloz Basilashvili $9.4K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $14K——Anna Blinkova $3.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K——Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K——No $6.3K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K——No $5.4K
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $686——No $1.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $731——Over $962
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $810——Over $813
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41