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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLunarcorona
Record (consensus markets)71% (2024–808, n=2832)54% (424–365, n=789)48% (483–517, n=1000)no settled market
Consensus PnL$386K$376K$455K—
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #899
Sides with the consensus67% (100 of 150 open)69% (79 of 115 open)53% (10 of 19 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLunarcorona
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Colorado $50Colorado $257Houston $5.7K—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $46Hurricanes $33K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4K—
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12Under $1.0K——
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $786Houston $2—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Duke
Duke $366Miami (FL) $49——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.1K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $938Colorado $3.6K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.5KColorado $871—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $383Heat $1.1K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K——
W50 Yokohama: Chia Yi Tsao vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Kyoka Okamura
Kyoka Okamura $1.0K—Kyoka Okamura $307—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $90Bulls $987——
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15—Over $237—