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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) | 55% (297–240, n=537) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #656 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (195 of 291 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (30 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=518 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 524 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 23% (won 4% of 122) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 27% of 78) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 68% of 130) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 37% (won 92% of 194) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | — | Over $234 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | — | Over $174 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | — | Under $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $130 | — | Over $842 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $206 | — | Yes $71 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams | Idaho Vandals $131 | — | Colorado State Rams $105 |
| Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tōkyō Verdy | Shimizu S-Pulse $55 | — | Tōkyō Verdy $105 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.4K | — | No $5.8K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $2.7K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3.8K | — | Under $6.7K |
| Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.6K | — | Yes $3.4K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | No $5.0K |
| Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $6.1K | — | No $2.9K |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.3K | — | Under $6 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $242 | — | No $630 |
| Spread: Spurs (-33.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $848 | — | Kings $15 |
| Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $638 | — | Over $216 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| North Dakota State Bison vs. San Francisco Dons same side · consensus San Francisco Dons | San Francisco Dons $585 | — | San Francisco Dons $10 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Kings $351 | — | Kings $133 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |