← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 55% (295–239, n=534) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.5M | $19K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #21 | was PM monthly #968 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 70% (184 of 263 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (48 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 23% (won 4% of 121) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 28% of 79) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 68% of 128) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 37% (won 92% of 192) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $60K | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | No $47K | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | No $45K | — | No $19K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $128K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.2K | — | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $270 | — | No $2.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | — | Under $7 |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.1K | — | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $19 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.3K | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $976 | — | Under $42 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | Elmer Moeller $384 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $99 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20 | — | Yes $30 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20 | — | Yes $20 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $29 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $24 | — | No $8 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11 | — | Yes $3 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.5K | — | Under $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | Filip Misolic $3.9K | — | Filip Misolic $9.6K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Under $8.8K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | — | Under $5.1K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.5K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | — | Under $4 |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | — | Under $3 |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | No $93 |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | — | No $214 |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) same side · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica | — | KKS Lech Poznań $3.0K | — | KKS Lech Poznań $63 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | — | Under $216 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.9K | — | Under $5 |
| Celtic FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $477 | — | No $2.0K |
| Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $805 |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $210 |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | — | Valeriya Strakhova $975 | — | Valeriya Strakhova $553 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $807 | — | Under $239 |