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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Hawk.live | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 55% (295–239, n=534) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $19K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | was PM monthly #968 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (298 of 428 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 59% (111 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 23% (won 4% of 121) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 28% of 79) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 68% of 128) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 37% (won 92% of 192) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
82 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.9K | — | — | Over $9.6K |
| Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Milan | AC Milan $13K | — | — | Ferencvárosi TC $518 |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.6K | — | — | Yes $235 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.7K | — | — | Over $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | Daniel Milavsky $483 | — | — | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Riera $4.1K | — | — | Renata Zarazua $661 |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K | — | — | Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | — | — | Over $470 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $85 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | — | — | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $345 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | — | Over $289 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $880 | — | — | Over $725 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $168 | — | — | No $1.4K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | — | Over $13 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | No $967 | — | — | Yes $319 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $446 | — | — | Over $675 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | No $819 | — | — | Yes $224 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $844 | — | — | No $108 |
| Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $919 | — | — | Yes $4 |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee | Keaton Hance $289 | — | — | Jordan Lee $556 |
| Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $195 | — | — | No $627 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $741 | — | — | Over $1 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | Greet Minnen $686 | — | — | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $165 | — | — | Yes $515 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | — | — | Over $502 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $418 | — | — | Over $88 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $387 | — | — | No $89 |
| AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $311 | — | — | Yes $20 |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $315 | — | — | Over $14 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14 | — | — | Yes $241 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | — | — | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $108 | — | — | Warriors $129 |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17 | — | — | Sofia Johnson $217 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $183 | — | — | Over $37 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $98 | — | — | Under $71 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | Cadence Brace $60 | — | — | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $74 | — | — | Yes $11 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry opposite sides · consensus Luciana Perry | Sloane Stephens $46 | — | — | Luciana Perry $27 |
| FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $62 | — | — | Under $4 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | — | — | Yes $4 |