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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6509–6024, n=12533) | 55% (295–239, n=534) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $24K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #871 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 75% (143 of 191 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 63% (33 of 52 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 23% (won 4% of 121) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 28% of 79) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 68% of 128) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 37% (won 92% of 192) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $28K | — | Yes $2 |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $17K | — | No $227 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | Diletta Cherubini $279 | — | Ipek Oz $678 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $851 | — | Under $8 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $81 | — | Warriors $500 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Heat $444 | — | Warriors $107 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $47 | — | No $361 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $122 | — | Over $99 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $9 | — | No $200 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $104 | — | Over $13 |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) same side · consensus Clube do Remo | — | SE Palmeiras $29K | — | SE Palmeiras $15K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato | — | Marco Cecchinato $4.5K | — | Marco Cecchinato $34K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | James Kent Trotter $1.2K | — | James Kent Trotter $27K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.0K | — | No $143 |
| Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | — | No $165 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba same side · consensus Blu Baker | — | Blu Baker $3.7K | — | Blu Baker $289 |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | SE Palmeiras $3.1K | — | SE Palmeiras $748 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Over $501 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | — | Over $760 |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | No $770 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $634 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $870 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| CS Cartaginés leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $656 | — | No $685 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $578 | — | Over $289 |
| Rubio Nu leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $462 | — | No $267 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | Canucks $325 | — | Canucks $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8 | — | Under $313 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $174 | — | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |