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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHaradwaithjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)40% (3385–5153, n=8538)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$465K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #276PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (243 of 347 open)70% (370 of 529 open)no open consensus position65% (45 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHaradwaithjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.8K——Yes $543
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
Whitney Osuigwe $1.9K——Lavinia Tanasie $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $683——Lisa Pigato $48
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $23——Ivan Gakhov $225
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
Murkel Dellien $211——Juan Pablo Ficovich $37
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
Cadence Brace $59——Jo-Yee Chan $36
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $41——Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $11K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22K——Under $139
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $3.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.3K——Under $8.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $6.0K——Nuno Borges $8.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5K——Yes $10K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K——Yes $546
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K——AS Omónoia Leukosías $3
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.6K——Under $128
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.0K——Under $2.4K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $1.9K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K——No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.1K——No $5
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $806——Under $49
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $33——Over $675
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $451——Yes $5
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $397——Under $29
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $207——No $141
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138——Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $45——Under $2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $34——Under $3