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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CUTJALENHURTS | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (5570–5156, n=10726) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $570K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #88 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (89 of 127 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 60% (34 of 57 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Golf −2 pts, n=108 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 19% of 1341) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 46% of 3607) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 3523) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 86% of 1699) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.