Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)56% (1156–919, n=2075)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$46K-$8.8M$4.1M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #977was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (55 of 95 open)73% (144 of 196 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +14 pts n=644, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won72% of 656 at avg 58¢, ROI +14%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 12% of 91)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 58% of 106)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 80% of 235)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 95% of 224)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $61KCommanders $320—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $863—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $21KColts $63—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $11K76ers $806—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.0KUnder $294—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345Over $3.2K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $80—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973—
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $54KBroncos $1.4K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $32KLinda Noskova $1.8K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.2KOver $1.3K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $107—
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Panthers $560Panthers $30—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $118Under $297—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $276Mitchell Krueger $106—
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
—Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $59—