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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | suntori | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | $430K | $230K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #792 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 68% (115 of 168 open) | 39% (22 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | suntori |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | — | Pelicans $3.9K | Pelicans $35 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | — | Nuggets $22K | Grizzlies $7 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | — | Spurs $9.3K | Spurs $6.4K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | — | Nuggets $5.1K | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $35K | — | — | Celtics $12K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $18K | Warriors $1.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $673 | — | Thunder $4.2K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.5K | Under $9 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $512 | Over $10 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $71 | Over $5 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $49 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $37 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $14K | Lakers $2.9K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | — | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5.3K | Over $216 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Thunder $4.8K | Thunder $75 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.3K | Over $14 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $279 | — | Grizzlies $764 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Magic $239 | Magic $2 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Magic $22 | Magic $56 |