Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpL.Acosta
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)100% (2–0, n=2)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)73% (32 of 44 open)70% (86 of 123 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 46¢, ROI +56%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)100% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpL.Acosta
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K76ers $959—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $50K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $40K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $873—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28KOver $390—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $9.1K——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $20KClippers $7—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $287—76ers $707—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $39——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KOver $2.5K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $107—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $297—