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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)66% (4106–2155, n=6261)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$21K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #932PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)60% (148 of 247 open)67% (108 of 162 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 62 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $40Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $26Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $14Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $62Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $46Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $30Under $1.3KUnder $64
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $96KJaguars $16——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $83KJaguars $31——
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $44KJaguars $18——
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $188Yes $42K—
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $130Yes $28K—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $40Under $18K—
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $234No $14K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $56Under $13K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39No $10K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $25Over $7.1K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $99No $6.0K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $52Under $5.9K—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
—Valerio Aboian $7Federico Coria $5.5K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $66Under $5.3K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $31No $5.0K—
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $303No $4.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $2.8K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $43KKS Lech Poznań $776—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $150Yes $592—
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16Under $685—
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $11Under $612—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19Under $521—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $44Under $414—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $430—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $378
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $83Yes $223—
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12Under $278—
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
—FC Twente $242Páfos FC $46—
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Juventus FC $79AZ $194—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $123Under $128—
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $226Yes $16—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—Sunderland AFC $12GNK Dinamo Zagreb $164—
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $59No $107—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68No $98—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27Under $127—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16Under $130—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $38Under $81—