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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | suntori | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | $230K | $208K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #792 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 69% (118 of 170 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (23 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | suntori |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | Pelicans $3.9K | — | Pelicans $35 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | Nuggets $22K | — | Grizzlies $7 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | Spurs $9.3K | — | Spurs $6.4K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | Nuggets $5.1K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $35K | — | — | Celtics $12K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $18K | — | Warriors $1.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $673 | Thunder $4.2K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.5K | — | Under $9 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $512 | — | Over $10 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | — | Over $5 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $13 | — | Under $49 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | Nuggets $37 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $14K | — | Lakers $3.7K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | Nets $5.2K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.3K | — | Over $216 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $4.8K | — | Thunder $75 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | — | Over $14 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $279 | Grizzlies $764 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $239 | — | Magic $2 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $22 | — | Magic $56 |