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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677morito181
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)69% (537–245, n=782)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$5.3M$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #109 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)75% (118 of 158 open)no open consensus position82% (152 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 6% of 202)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 43% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)6% (won 53% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)67% (won 96% of 612)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677morito181
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $170K——Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $80K——No $188
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.8K—Yes $22K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $768—Yes $19K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $180—Yes $6.5K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $2.2K
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $694—Yes $1.7K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $697—Yes $1.6K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $364—Yes $14
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $353—Yes $5
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $221
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.3K—No $23K