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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 39% (3351–5220, n=8571) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | -$473K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (253 of 365 open) | 74% (575 of 776 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $409K | — | Yes $361 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | — | No $2.1K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $373 | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.9K | — | No $123 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $64 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $137 | — | Yes $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | Yes $80 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $489 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $100 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $319 | — | Under $718 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $7 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State same side · consensus Fresno State | — | Fresno State $145 | Fresno State $495 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $129 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |