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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)no settled market52% (6585–6162, n=12747)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$7.3M—$3.7M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #999PM monthly #13PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position70% (181 of 258 open)54% (22 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $10KOver $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $541No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KOver $407
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KUnder $83
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $524
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $540Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $31KUnder $11K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
——Claire Liu $20KClaire Liu $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.4KNo $5.6K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $496
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.1KUnder $1.2K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
——Yosuke Watanuki $27Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $861No $1.4K
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
——Kristjan Tamm $1.5KKristjan Tamm $448
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $1.1K
Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $810Yes $71
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $41