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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CUTJALENHURTS | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (5570–5158, n=10728) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $557K | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 72% (83 of 115 open) | 68% (59 of 87 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Golf −2 pts, n=108 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 19% of 1341) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 35% (won 46% of 3607) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 61% of 3523) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 17% (won 86% of 1699) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.