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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc023bee917480fed315d186a7b223f33c09a0fe8-1793567845085FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL—$70K$227K-$147K
Tracked asPM monthly #169PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (87 of 130 open)67% (47 of 70 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won0% of 2 at avg 14¢, ROI +48%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 2)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢0%13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up0%34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc023bee917480fed315d186a7b223f33c09a0fe8-1793567845085FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $3.2K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $190Celtics $399—
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
—Marquette Golden Eagles $13Michigan Wolverines $516—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $123Rockets $82—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $49—Maxence Bertimon $14
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $239Over $5.4K—
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $3.2KKansas City Roos $2.1K—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $48Under $4.7K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $108Over $2.7K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $93Over $2.4K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $100Over $2.3K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $838—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
—Dartmouth Big Green $419Dartmouth Big Green $301—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Florida A&M Rattlers
—Kansas City Roos $100Kansas City Roos $277—
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $192Under $183—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $201Raptors $19—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $56—