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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048Flaznorpnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2760–1153, n=3913)53% (510–448, n=958)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$526K$681K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #8PM monthly #59was PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (75 of 122 open)44% (31 of 71 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)0%
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048Flaznorpnigiri99VirIntrepidus
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $81Josh Hokit $37K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $27Utah $21K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Packers $2.4KVikings $7.1K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.0KLions $1.3K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174—Chiefs $6.1K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6KOklahoma $507—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $361Flames $11K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Vikings $5.4K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $634Texas Tech $4.8K—
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.1KPanthers $225—
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $37Islanders $368—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Flames $225Flames $171—
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $18Over $141—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—Cowboys $3