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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (510–174, n=684)67% (334–163, n=497)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$59K-$108K—
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (128 of 193 open)55% (24 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=35, ROI +40%
  • NFL +55 pts n=19, ROI +51%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)26% (won 100% of 62)52% (won 100% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 95)30% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 100% of 80)7% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Delaware State Hornets vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 143.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $159Under $102—
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 166.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $194Over $8—
Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $158—
Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rutgers Scarlet Knights
—NJIT Highlanders $6Rutgers Scarlet Knights $157—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Iowa Hawkeyes $91Virginia Tech Hokies $66—
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 163.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27Under $97—
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 165.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2Under $27—
NJIT Highlanders vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
opposite sides · consensus Rutgers Scarlet Knights
—Rutgers Scarlet Knights $10NJIT Highlanders $7—
South Alabama Jaguars vs. UCF Knights
opposite sides · consensus UCF Knights
—South Alabama Jaguars $1UCF Knights $10—
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Tomas Barrios
—Tomas Barrios $2.5KTomas Barrios $29K—
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
same side · consensus Florida Gators
—Florida Gators $1.7KFlorida Gators $2.8K—
Brisbane 3: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $744Sebastian Gorzny $2.8K—
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $99Under $1.5K—
Delaware State Hornets vs. Georgetown Hoyas
same side · consensus Georgetown Hoyas
—Georgetown Hoyas $685Georgetown Hoyas $12—
Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $89Under $423—
Memphis Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
—Vanderbilt Commodores $42Vanderbilt Commodores $352—
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
same side · consensus Memphis Tigers
—Vanderbilt Commodores $183Vanderbilt Commodores $139—
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 148.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $153Under $135—
W75 Brisbane: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Olivia Gadecki
same side · consensus Sahaja Yamalapalli
—Sahaja Yamalapalli $212Sahaja Yamalapalli $2—
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $155Under $16—
Wyoming Cowboys vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
—Wyoming Cowboys $77Wyoming Cowboys $31—
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-15.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
—Vanderbilt Commodores $60Vanderbilt Commodores $7—
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State Spartans
—Duke Blue Devils $7Duke Blue Devils $18—