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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)95% (70–4, n=74)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$88K$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #3PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)82% (23 of 28 open)69% (179 of 258 open)62% (43 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won96% of 76 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up95% (won 100% of 72)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8.2KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
——PFK CSKA Sofia $1.3KPanathinaikós AO $4
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $142No $946
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
——Elmer Moeller $387Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $108Warriors $130
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
——Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $29
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $23No $4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $47KNo $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $44KNo $19K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16KSport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
——Filip Misolic $4.1KFilip Misolic $9.6K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.5KUnder $8.8K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.5KUnder $2.4K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.2KNo $1.2K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.7KNo $93
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
——KKS Lech Poznań $3.0KKKS Lech Poznań $63
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $1.9K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $216
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KUnder $5
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $214
Celtic FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $453No $2.0K
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $109
W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova
same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
——Valeriya Strakhova $975Valeriya Strakhova $553
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $957No $210
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $771Under $229
Will Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $121No $651
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $240No $165
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AZ
——AZ $389AZ $5
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $138Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $107No $12
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 1 Juventus FC?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2Yes $2