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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) |
| Consensus PnL | $841K | $770K | $6.4K | $635K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (57 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.3M | — | Saints $20 |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $1.1M | — | Packers $7.1K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $204K | — | Packers $38K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | Titans $122K | — | Jaguars $80K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $77K | — | 49ers $61K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Titans $104K | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $2.2K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $78K | — | 76ers $3.1K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $11K | — | Packers $399 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Colts $272 | — | Dolphins $2.1K |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $496 | — | Packers $63 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $76K | — | Chiefs $19K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $75K | — | Colts $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $3.1K | — | Cowboys $383 |