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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 33% (1–2, n=3) | 75% (837–274, n=1111) | 66% (489–255, n=744) |
| Consensus PnL | -$383K | $5.1K | $123K | -$132K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #966 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #46 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (5 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (143 of 203 open) | 65% (13 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 1 at avg 68¢, ROI +32% | 52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 26% (won 45% of 56) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 69% of 29) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 29% (won 97% of 63) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $8.3K | — | Knicks $199 | — |
| Exact Score: Londrina EC 0 - 0 Clube Náutico Capibaribe? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $102 | No $564 |
| Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $358 | Over $281 |
| Will Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $386 | No $249 |
| Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $93 | Under $534 |
| Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | — | — | Penn Quakers $78 | Navy Midshipmen $10 |
| Spread: Londrina EC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clube Náutico Capibaribe | — | — | Clube Náutico Capibaribe $78 | Londrina EC $1 |
| Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $13 | Yes $54 |
| Dota 2: Time to Sleep vs CyberHero (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B same side · consensus Time to Sleep | CyberHero $5.2K | — | CyberHero $643 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $3.7K | — | Cavaliers $825 | — |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates same side · consensus East Carolina Pirates | — | — | East Carolina Pirates $1.1K | East Carolina Pirates $876 |
| Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov same side · consensus Liam Draxl | — | — | Liam Draxl $1.0K | Liam Draxl $482 |
| Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen same side · consensus Penn Quakers | — | — | Penn Quakers $513 | Penn Quakers $256 |
| Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $49 | — | — | Over $600 |
| Exact Score: Londrina EC 1 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $13 | No $121 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $95 | — | Vikings $6 | — |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 151.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13 | Over $35 |