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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 75% (447–152, n=599) | 68% (316–146, n=462) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $8.5K | $52K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #984 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #38 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (78 of 123 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | — | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | — | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | — | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | — | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | — | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $39K | — | Coco Gauff $25K | Linda Noskova $2.7K |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet opposite sides · consensus Oliver Tarvet | Oliver Tarvet $1.0K | — | Ozan Baris $2.8K | Oliver Tarvet $274 |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $202 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.4K | — | Heat $558 | — |
| Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov same side · consensus Alexis Galarneau | — | — | Alexis Galarneau $183 | Alexis Galarneau $2.2K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $22 | — | Miami (OH) $37 | — |