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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #22PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)68% (222 of 326 open)67% (26 of 39 open)59% (146 of 246 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

52 on the same side, 64 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $1.3K—Bucks $765
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $20KSacramento State $215—Sacramento State $8.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6KRaptors $379—Raptors $275
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283Under $2.1K—Under $428
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $19K76ers $6.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $4.0K—Celtics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $429Hornets $3.3K——
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $175
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0KBulls $156——
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $797Over $2.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301—No $2.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0KGrizzlies $693——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $2.2K—Celtics $3
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.6K—Bucks $57
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $23
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bulls $1.3K—Knicks $158
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $138
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Senators $66—Sabres $1.3K
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $39976ers $891——
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $374
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $988—Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $82——Under $830
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $690—Under $87
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $763—Under $8
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $598—Over $46
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78—Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $555—Bulls $16
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $330—Over $235
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $414—Under $106
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $297—Pacers $180
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $429—Over $6