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CUTJALENHURTSSacramento StateToledo
RN1Sacramento StateToledoToledo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Sacramento State β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Sacramento State

Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Sacramento State. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
3
Sacramento State 67%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$7.6K
Combined PnL
-$13.24
Smart Money Signal
Sacramento State
2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Toledo0%
Sacramento State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Sacramento State2 traders
Total Value$7.3K
Total Shares7,321
Combined PnL+$2.2K
Toledo1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,808
Combined PnL$-2.2K
Sacramento State β 67%Toledo β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() CUTJALENHURTS | Sacramento Stateavg 68.6Β’ | $4.4K | $6.3K | +$2.0K | 52% 5953-5563 (11516) |
PR primmCTR | Toledoavg 32.6Β’ | $2.2K | β | $-2.2K | 47% 1244-1422 (2666) |
![]() RN1 | Sacramento Stateavg 72.8Β’ | $754.63 | $971.45 | +$216.82 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
JU justaluckydudeARB<$100 | Toledoavg 25.6Β’ | $344.37 | $234.06 | -$110.31 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
| β Toledo leg | Toledoavg 25.6Β’ | $226.48 | β | -$226.48 | |
| β Sacramento State leg | Sacramento Stateavg 50.4Β’ | $117.88 | $234.06 | +$116.17 | |
3C 0x3ca9...424aARB<$100 | Toledoavg 51Β’ | $85.87 | $58 | -$27.87 | β |
| β Sacramento State leg | Sacramento Stateavg 61Β’ | $35.38 | $58 | +$22.62 | |
| β Toledo leg | Toledoavg 51Β’ | $50.49 | β | -$50.49 |
CUTJALENHURTSInvested
$4,358.46
Value
$6.3K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
52%
5953-5563 (11516)
PR
primmCTRInvested
$2,221.6
Value
β
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
47%
1244-1422 (2666)
RN1Invested
$754.63
Value
$971.45
PnL
+$216.82
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
JU
justaluckydudeARB<$100Invested
$344.37
Value
$234.06
PnL
-$110.31
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
Both legs:
Toledo$226.4825.6Β’-$226.48
Sacramento State$117.8850.4Β’+$116.17
3C
0x3ca9...424aARB<$100Invested
$85.87
Value
$58
PnL
-$27.87
Record
β
Both legs:
Sacramento State$35.3861Β’+$22.62
Toledo$50.4951Β’-$50.49
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc9e0b09e...7d0d22
Slug
cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04-spread-away-14pt5