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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplopezmartinRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)63% (10–6, n=16)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$46K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #547PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (17 of 24 open)62% (235 of 382 open)no open consensus position64% (127 of 200 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)25% (won 25% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)19% (won 33% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)31% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)25% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplopezmartinRN1
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268KNo $144K—No $6.3K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265KNo $113K—No $6.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KDaniil Medvedev $5.5K—Daniil Medvedev $36K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $15K—No $5.3K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4KLaura Samson $2.5K—Laura Samson $5.5K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155Under $8.6K—Under $2.7K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $40—Under $379
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
Liverpool FC $4.4KFenerbahçe SK $20K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $32
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $948—No $3.8K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.0K—Yes $1.3K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $14—Over $1.9K
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $81—No $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $949—No $4
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $889—Under $10
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $430
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
—Alice Tubello $606—Marina Bassols Ribera $60
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $590—No $21
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357——Under $157
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Thunder $136
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $424—Under $1
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $274—Marie Weckerle $55
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $132
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $50—Yes $63
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $94K—No $4.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $71K—Yes $20K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24KOver $36K——
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $25K—Yes $3.2K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18KOver $7.2K——
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20K—Yes $358
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $19K—No $73
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $4.0K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.3K—Under $6.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.8K—Under $5.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $6.8K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3K—Over $7.9K