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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpifyoulovemeRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)56% (343–267, n=610)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$64K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #296PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)72% (129 of 179 open)70% (38 of 54 open)43% (13 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=87—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%53% of 568 at avg 48¢, ROI +6%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)37% (won 15% of 209)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 55% of 93)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 65% of 91)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)31% (won 93% of 175)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpifyoulovemeRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4KAlexandra Eala $28K—Alexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27Ben Shelton $8.5K—Ben Shelton $25K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $724Mai Hontama $7.3K—Mai Hontama $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45—Yes $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27—No $718—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138—Yes $2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K—No $230—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53K—Yes $611—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2KYes $40——
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $598—Jerome Kym $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $640—Noma Noha Akugue $71
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42