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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplaytwe2nty
Record (consensus markets)46% (41–49, n=90)75% (596–198, n=794)40% (2–3, n=5)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$451K$19K$391K—
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #864
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)58% (119 of 205 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%50% of 2 at avg 72¢, ROI −21%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)50% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplaytwe2nty
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $127KKings $2Kings $53K—
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $31KSan Diego Toreros $156——
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9KMagic $201——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KUnder $93K—
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $46KHeat $7.1K——
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $32KCeltics $15K——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $5.7KCeltics $33K—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $17KMiami (OH) $12——
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Jazz $17KJazz $480——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus FURIA
FURIA $12KFURIA $12——
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $5.6KSuns $687——
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.5KSuns $4.8K——
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $2.1K76ers $594——
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $283Over $2.2K——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6Jazz $321——